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Towards a future-oriented “Energiewende”: An anticipatory multi-level approach to the decentralised renewable energy transition (FutWend)

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Basic project information

How does the future of decenralized renewable energy look like?
© Photo: Jari Lyytimäki


The project Futwende unpacks decentralized renewable production of energy

Energy systems are in a state of flux. One part of this is the increasing role of decentralized forms of renewable energy production.

The project Futwend examines the causes of changes related to decentralized energy, the roles of actors, mental models, energy and resources policies  and institutions that prevent or enable transitions toward a sustainable future energy economy.

One of the theoretical foundations for the project is the multi-level socio-technological change (so-called Multi-Level Perspective). This framework is used widely in describing societal development, but lacks a clear futures orientation especially in analyzing the alternative future scenarios in different stages of transition. The FutWend project will help to close this gap.

The project thus employs a future-oriented MLP framework to analyze the transition of Finnish energy sector through 2030 by focusing on three example technologies: Biogas is a potential but as yet little used form of energy production in Finland; geothermal heat pumps have become rapidly more common in recent years; and combustion of wood chips constitutes an already established form of energy production.

The consortium members

The responsible leader is professor Petri Tapio at the Finland Futures Research Centre FFRC (University of Turku). The project consortium also includes a team of the Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE) led by senior researcher Vilja Varho. The work at SYKE is led by senior researcher Timo Assmuth.

FutWend publications and presentations by the SYKE team

  • Lyytimäki, J. (2016). Renewables from the bottom up. Nature 539(7628): 168 [short comment]
  • Lyytimäki, J. (2016). Futwend-hanke pohtii kestävän energiamurroksen edellytyksiä. Luonnonvaralta-blogi 10.11.2016. [In Finnish: Futwend-project ponders the prerequisites of sustainable energy rupture]
  • Rantala, S. & Paloniemi, R. (2016) Co-evolution of knowledge communities, public policy and governance system in the opening and digitalization of natural resource knowledge: exploring a research agenda. Paper presented at the 3rd Thematic IASC Conference on Knowledge Commons, Paris, 20-22 October 2016.
  • Lyytimäki Jari (2017). Maaseudun tulevaisuus tarvitsee monta jalkaa. Maaseudun Tulevaisuus 5.6.2017, s. 10. [Muokattu versio Luonnonvaralta-blogissa] [In Finnish: Development of the rural future needs several standpoints]
  • Nygrén, N.A., Lyytimäki, J., Rantala, S., Toikka, A., Pulkka A. (2017). Media Representations of Decentralized Renewable Energy - Potentials and Pitfalls of Media as a Data Source for Energy Transition Research. Paper presented at The 13th Nordic Environmental Social Science Conference (NESS 2017), 6-8th June 2017, Tampere, Finland.

Additional information:

Senior researcher Timo Assmuth

Head of Unit Riikka Paloniemi

Senior researcher Jari Lyytimäki

Researcher Salla Rantala

Published 2016-08-26 at 15:40, updated 2017-06-21 at 11:34

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