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VACCIA Action 3: Derivation of climate scenarios

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Climate change scenarios indicate that warming of the lower troposphere increases northwards. Changes in precipitation, daily minimum and maximum temperature, solar radiation, snow amount, soil moisture and wind velocity will also take place. In this action climate change scenarios for the nine LT(S)ER areas will be created. This will facilitate the estimation of effects of the changing climate on the local ecosystems due to, for example, the extension of the growing season.

Methods employed

Climate change scenarios for the LT(S)ER areas will be constructed with respect to the baseline period 1971-2000. Scenarios for the mean temperature and precipitation are based on output from nineteen global climate models; minimum and maximum temperature, solar radiation, snow amount, soil moisture and wind velocity projections on a bit smaller ensemble of models. Projections are composed separately for different greenhouse gas emission scenarios.                                       

Expected results

Climate change scenarios for the nine LT(S)ER areas.

Contact person

Kirsti Jylhä, Finnish Meteorological Institute, firstname.lastname@fmi.fi

Published 2013-05-06 at 8:55, updated 2013-05-06 at 8:54