Home > Research & development > Research and development projects > Projects > Finnish Scenarios for Climate Change Research Addressing Policies, Regions and Integrated Systems (FINSCAPES) > Finnish Scenarios for Climate Change Research Addressing Policies, Regions and Integrated Systems (FINSCAPES) Finnish Scenarios for Climate Change Research Addressing Policies, Regions and Integrated Systems (FINSCAPES) + Show information - Hide information Basic project information Start year 2021 End year 2024 Stage Ongoing Person in charge Timothy Carter Other persons Stefan Fagerström, Stefan Fronzek, Kaisa Korhonen-Kurki, Anna Lipsanen, Nina Pirttioja, Sanna-Riikka Saarela, Uula Saastamoinen Financiers Academy of Finland Partners Finnish Meteorological Institute, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke) The FINSCAPES project aims to develop new integrated scenarios of socioeconomic and climate change during the 21st century for use in climate change research and policy making in Finland. In close collaboration with stakeholders of key societally relevant systems, it co-produces national and regional socioeconomic narratives as extensions of global shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Using recent global climate model simulation results, a set of national and regional future climate projections will be prepared, with new analysis on extreme weather and compound events and preparation of climate and impact storylines. Narratives and climate projections are combined into integrated, system-wide SSP-based scenarios for Finnish sub-regions and nationally. Design, development and application of the scenarios are demonstrated in case studies of relevance for research and policy. Emphasis is placed on effective dissemination of project outcomes at regional, national and international level.News 2021-02-17: How may global changes affect the future of Finland's agricultural and food economy? 2020-11-26: Scientists assess framework for depicting different futures under changing climate PublicationsFINSCAPES infosheets FINSCAPES Info 1/2021 FINSCAPES: Finnish scenarios for climate change research. Addressing policies, regions and integrated systems (pdf) – Finnish version FINSCAPES Info 2/2022 FINSCAPES project begins to construct scenarios for climate analysis (pdf) – Swedish version – Finnish ersion FINSCAPES Info 3/2024 FINSCAPES project finalises a new set of integrated regional scenarios for climate change analysis (pdf) – Swedish version – Finnish version Overview/Methods Green, C., S. Fagerström, D. Ke, P. Metzinger, M. Myllynen, X. Xing, T.R. Carter, K. Ebi, M. Garschagen, K. Kok, A. Lipsanen, K.Takahashi, B. J. van Ruijven. 2022. Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Literature Database, Version 2, 2020-2021 (Preliminary Release). Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). https://doi.org/10.7927/vtsk-hf73. Accessed 12 December 2023. Ruuhela, R., Carter, T.R., Rantanen, M., Polade, S., Lipsanen, A., Jylhä, K., Laurila, T.K., Luomaranta, A., Fagerström, S., Luhtala, S., and Gregow, H. 2023. Ilmasto- ja sosioekonomiset skenaariot ilmastonmuutokseen sopeutumisen suunnittelussa (Climate and socioeconomic scenarios for climate change adaptation planning), Publications of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry 2023:4, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, 43 pp. (in Finnish with English summary). https://julkaisut.valtioneuvosto.fi/handle/10024/164670 Regional climate: observations and projections Ruosteenoja, K. and K. Jylhä, 2021. Projected climate change in Finland during the 21st century calculated from CMIP6 model simulations. Geophysica, 56, 39–69. (PDF) Ruosteenoja, K. and K. Jylhä, 2021. Online supplement for: Projected climate change in Finland during the 21st century calculated from CMIP6 model simulations. Geophysica, 56. 14 p. (PDF) Ruosteenoja K, 2021: Applicability of CMIP6 models for building climate projections for northern Europe. Finnish Meteorological Institute, Reports 2021:7., http://hdl.handle.net/10138/334477 Toivonen E, Partanen A-I, Jylhä K, 2021: Ilmastonmuutos vaikuttaa hulevesien mitoitukseen Suomessa ja muissa Pohjoismaissa. Vesitalous 2/2021, p. 14–18. (PDF) Médus, E., 2022: Regional climate over Northern Europe: from observations to high-resolution modeling. Finnish Meteorological Institute Contributions 182. https://doi.org/10.35614/isbn.9789523361591 Médus, E., Thomassen, E. D., Belušić, D., Lind, P., Berg, P., Christensen, J. H., Christensen, O. B., Dobler, A., Kjellström, E., Olsson, J., and Yang, W., 2022. Characteristics of precipitation extremes over the Nordic region: added value of convection-permitting modeling, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 693–711. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-693-2022 Ruosteenoja, K., Jylhä, K. Average and extreme heatwaves in Europe at 0.5–2.0 °C global warming levels in CMIP6 model simulations. Clim Dyn 61, 4259–4281 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06798-4 Ruosteenoja, K. and Jylhä, K., 2023. Heatwave projections for Finland at different levels of global warming derived from CMIP6 simulations. Geophysica, 58 (PDF) Bracho-Mujica, G., R.P. Rötter, M. Haakana, T. Palosuo, S. Fronzek, S. Asseng, C. Yi, F. Ewert, T. Gaiser, B. Kassie, K. Paff, E. Rezaei, A. Rodríguez, M. Ruiz-Ramos, A.K. Srivastava, P. Stratonovitch, F. Tao and M.A. Semenov (2024) Effects of changes in climatic means and variability on future wheat and maize yields and the role of adaptive agro-technologies in reducing negative impacts. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 346, 109887, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109887 Published 2021-02-05 at 13:30, updated 2024-06-28 at 10:38 Suomeksi In English Topic: climate, climate change, climate policy, research, projects Target group: no user role Share: Feedback for the person in charge Print this page Partners Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke) Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) Related links FMI's FINSCAPES project page (in Finnish) Project-internal website